๐ PRO: This Week in Visuals
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Today at a glance:
๐ Eli Lilly: Pill Doubts
๐ McDonald's: Reigniting Growth
๐จ๐ฆ Shopify: Canadaโs Largest Stock
๐ Uber: Accelerating User Metrics
๐ฉ๐ฐ Novo Nordisk: Growth Reset
๐งฌ Amgen: Obesity Trials Advance
๐ฅ๏ธ Sony: PlayStation Power
๐ Arista Networks: AI Tailwinds Accelerate
๐ Pfizer: Costs in Check
๐ฑ AppLovin: Self-Serve Era Incoming
๐ Airbnb: International Offsets Soft US
๐ Fortinet: Slowing Services Growth
๐จ Marriott: International To The Rescue
๐ Flutter: FanDuelโs Winning Streak
๐ฐ๐ท Coupang: New Verticals Deliver
โ๏ธ Atlassian: AI Momentum
๐ถ Datadog: AI Cohort Lifts Outlook
๐ฒ Block: Borrow Fuels Rebound
๐บ The Trade Desk: Kokai at Scale
๐ฎ Take-Two: Raising the Bar
๐ฎ YUM Brands: Digital Milestone
๐ค Live Nation: Latin America in Focus
๐ Toast: New Locations Record
๐ข HubSpot: AI-First Strategy Pays Off
๐ Pinterest: Gen Z Fuels Growth
โ๏ธ Expedia: Guidance Takes Off
๐ DraftKings: Lucky Quarter
๐ Zillow: Rentals Surge Again
๐ Global Payments: Ongoing Shift
๐ฌ Twilio: Growth Accelerates
๐ฆ Duolingo: New Subjects Take Flight
๐ป Snap: Ad Glitch Hits Growth
๐ป Paycom: AI-Driven Efficiency
๐๏ธ New York Times: AI Boosts Bundles
๐ฅ Match Group: Signs of Stabilization
๐ด Klaviyo: Upmarket Gains
๐งฌ Tempus AI: Genomics Revs Up
๐ Lyft: Still Trailing Uber
๐ฒ Peloton: Profitable Again
๐ Digital Ocean: AI Lifts Outlook
๐ฝ๏ธ Tripadvisor: Marketplaces Take the Lead
๐ Docebo: Mid-Market Momentum
1. ๐ Eli Lilly: Pill Doubts
Eli Lillyโs Q2 revenue surged 38% Y/Y to $15.6 billion ($0.9 billion beat), led once again by its GLP-1 duoโMounjaro (+68% to $5.2 billion) and Zepbound (+172% to $3.4 billion). Non-GAAP EPS jumped 61% to $6.31 ($0.72 beat), with gross margin improving to 84%.
Lilly raised its full-year revenue guidance to $60โ62 billion (up from $58โ61 billion), and non-GAAP EPS to ~$22.25 (from ~$21.53). Performance margins are expected to reach up to 45.5%, with plans to nearly double incretin production in 2H25.
But sentiment turned. Shares dropped ~14% on underwhelming Phase 3 data for orforglipron, its once-daily oral weight-loss pill. Patients lost up to 12.4% of body weight, trailing injectables like Novo Nordiskโs Wegovy (~15%), while 10% discontinued due to gastrointestinal side effects. Rival Novo surged on the news.
CEO Dave Ricks defended the profile, emphasizing oral convenience and scalable manufacturing. Despite headwinds like CVS dropping Zepbound, Mounjaro is now the top diabetes incretin in the US. The long-term thesis remains, but the road to pill-based dominance may be bumpier than hoped.
2. ๐ McDonaldโs: Reigniting Growth
McDonaldโs returned to growth in Q2, with global same-store sales up 4%, ending a streak of weak quarters. US comps rose 2.5%, a sharp rebound from last quarterโs -3.6% decline, driven by positive check growth and strong reception to Snack Wraps, $5 bundles, and Minecraft-themed promotions. Revenue grew 5% Y/Y to $6.8 billion ($140 million beat), and EPS reached $3.19 ($0.04 beat).
International Licensed Markets (+6%) and International Operated Markets (+4%) outperformed, supported by value deals and new product launches like the Chicken Big Mac in Germany.
McDonaldโs reaffirmed its full-year operating margin guidance in the mid-to-high 40% range and expects 2,200 new restaurant openings in 2025 (1,800 net adds). Digital remains a focus, with loyalty users exceeding 185 million across 60 markets and a 2027 target of 250 million.
Despite ongoing pressures on low-income consumers, management sees momentum building. CEO Chris Kempczinski cited a bifurcated consumer landscape but emphasized McDonaldโs scale, affordability, and IP tie-ins as key to reengaging core customers and sustaining traffic gains.
3. ๐จ๐ฆ Shopify: Canadaโs Largest Stock
Shopifyโs Q2 revenue jumped 31% Y/Y to $2.68 billion ($130 million beat). Gross merchandise volume surged 31% to $87.8 billion ($6 billion above expectations), with notable acceleration in Europe (+42% Y/Y in constant currency). Monthly recurring revenue rose 9% Y/Y to $185 million.
Operating income came in at $291 million (vs. $248 million consensus). Net income soared to $906 million, driven by operating leverage and favorable equity investment in Affirm, Global-e, and Klaviyo after last quarterโs drag (see โOtherโ for $615 million in the top right of the visual). Free cash flow hit $422 million, or 16% of revenue (up from 15% in Q1).
Shopify regained its position as Canadaโs most valuable public company, with shares surging over 20% to a new 52-week high. Wall Street celebrated large merchant adoption and international momentum. Citi called it a โblowoutโ quarter, suggesting market share gains more than offset macro concerns and tariff risk.
Looking ahead, Shopify expects Q3 revenue growth in the mid-to-high 20% range and gross profit growth in the low 20% range. Tariff pressures remain something to watch, but investor focus has shifted to the platformโs ability to scale across geographies and segments.
4. ๐ Uber: Accelerating User Metrics
Uberโs Q2 revenue rose 18% Y/Y to $12.7 billion ($230 million beat). Gross bookings showed no sign of slowing down, rising 18% Y/Y to $46.8 billion, driven by 18% trip growth and a 15% rise in monthly active users to 180 million (an acceleration). Delivery outpaced Mobility again, with bookings up 20% vs. 16%, as Uber pushes its โbarbell strategyโ to serve both cost-conscious and premium users.
Adjusted EBITDA climbed 35% to a record $2.1 billion (4.5% of bookings), while free cash flow surged 44% to $2.5 billion. Net income reached $1.4 billion, aided by strong operating leverage and investment gains. Uber One membership jumped to 36 million, now contributing 40% of total bookings.
Despite the record quarter, Mobility bookings narrowly missed estimates ($23.8 billion vs. $23.9 billion). Still, Uber authorized a massive $20 billion buyback, effectively $23 billion with remaining capacity.
Looking ahead, Uber guided Q3 gross bookings to grow +17% to 21% in constant currency, and adjusted EBITDA to grow +30% to 36%. CEO Dara Khosrowshahi emphasized platform cross-sell and AV expansion, with new Waymo deployments in Atlanta and partnerships with Lucid, Nuro, and others to scale autonomous fleets over time. We covered the latest partnership in our review of Teslaโs earnings.