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How They Make Money

🔎 Google: The Anthropic Paradox

Up to $40 billion invested in the company reshaping the AI race

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App Economy Insights
Apr 30, 2026
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Welcome to the Premium edition of How They Make Money.

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In case you missed it:

  • 📱 Apple Enters a New Era

  • 🚖 Tesla: $25 Billion AI Pivot

  • 📊 PRO: TSMC, ASML, J&J…

  • 🧠 Anthropic Leapfrogs OpenAI


Google logo animation by kekedeqiche on Dribbble

Google just went bigger on Anthropic

Alphabet plans to invest up to $40 billion in the company: $10 billion upfront, $30 billion more tied to milestones, and 5 gigawatts of computing capacity over five years. This deal was struck at a $350 billion valuation, a fraction of the $1 trillion secondary-market price Anthropic commanded this week.

Anthropic’s Claude may compete directly with Gemini, but Alphabet is backing it anyway because the infrastructure layer matters more than model loyalty.

Claude is becoming one of the defining products of the AI era, especially in coding, and Anthropic’s annualized revenue run rate reportedly jumped from $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $30 billion by April 2026. Yet Google is still leaning in, because every major winner in AI will need enormous compute, cloud, and networking capacity to operate at scale.

Google wants to win that layer. Q1 FY26 made the case.

Here’s what stood out this quarter.

Today at a glance:

  1. Alphabet Q1 FY26.

  2. The full-stack AI bet.

  3. Key Insights from the call.

  4. What to watch moving forward.


1. Alphabet Q1 FY26

Income statement:

Alphabet just saw a $37.7 billion paper gain from its private equity investments, nearly as much as its entire operating profit for the quarter. If you have been reading this newsletter carefully, you were not surprised by this number (more on this in a second).

Revenue grew 22% Y/Y to $109.9 billion ($2.9 billion beat). In constant-currency, revenue grew 19% Y/Y.

  • 🔎 Advertising: $77.3 billion (+16%).

    • Search: $60.4 billion (+19%).

    • YouTube ads: $9.9 billion (+11%).

    • Network: $7.0 billion (-4%).

  • 📱 Subscriptions, platforms, and devices: $12.4 billion (+19%).

  • ☁️ Cloud: $20.0 billion (+63%).

Margin trends:

  • Gross margin: 62% (+3pp Y/Y).

  • Operating margin: 36% (+2pp Y/Y).

    • Services (Advertising & Other): 45% (+3pp Y/Y).

    • Cloud: 33% (+15pp Y/Y).

Cash flow:

  • Operating cash flow TTM was $174 billion (+32% Y/Y).

  • Free cash flow TTM was $64 billion (-47% Y/Y).

💸 Free Cash Flow Explained

💸 Free Cash Flow Explained

App Economy Insights
·
June 27, 2025
Read full story

With CapEx now expected to reach ~$185 billion in FY26, most of Alphabet's operating cash flow will be plowed back into AI spending.

Chart preview
Source: Fiscal.ai

Balance sheet:

  • Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities: $126.8 billion.

  • Long-term debt: $77.5 billion.

So, what to make of all this?

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