How They Make Money

How They Make Money

πŸ“Š PRO: This Week in Visuals

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App Economy Insights
May 09, 2026
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Today at a glance:

  1. ↗️ AMD: CPU Reawakening

  2. πŸ“± Arm: AGI CPU Demand Doubles

  3. 🌐 Arista Networks: Demand Beats Supply

  4. 🍟 McDonald’s: Value Plays Through Anxiety

  5. πŸ›οΈ Shopify: Growth Deceleration Ahead

  6. πŸ“± AppLovin: Axon Opens to the World

  7. πŸš– Uber: Bookings Accelerate

  8. πŸ‡©πŸ‡° Novo Nordisk: Oral Wegovy Boost

  9. πŸ’‰ Pfizer: Defining Period

  10. 🏨 Marriott: US Demand Reaccelerates

  11. ☁️ Cloudflare: Shrinking To Grow Faster

  12. 🀝 MercadoLibre: Growth Over Margins

  13. πŸ›– Airbnb: Guidance Goes Higher

  14. πŸ₯‘ DoorDash: Demand Offsets the Misses

  15. ☁️ CoreWeave: Backlog Near $100B

  16. 🏎️ Ferrari: Scarcity Holds Up

  17. πŸ”’ Fortinet: AI-Era Demand Surge

  18. πŸ“ˆ Coinbase: Crypto Winter Continues

  19. 🐢 Datadog: AI Becomes the Engine

  20. πŸ’³ PayPal: Lores Lays Out the Cuts

  21. πŸ”² Block: AI Bet Pays Off

  22. 🎀 Live Nation: Antitrust Bill Lands

  23. πŸ‡°πŸ‡· Coupang: Recovery Takes Time

  24. πŸ’³ Fiserv: Transformation Strain

  25. ⚑️ Axon: AI and Counter-Drone Inflection

  26. πŸ‘½ Reddit: Profitability Tier Unlocked

  27. ✈️ Expedia: B2B Carries The Load Again

  28. πŸ’¬ Twilio: Voice AI Reaccelerates

  29. 🌭 Kraft Heinz: Early Traction

  30. 🌈 Affirm: Card Engine Keeps Roaring

  31. 🌎 Global Payments: Worldpay Era Begins

  32. 🏈 Flutter: Howe Out, Predictions In

  33. 🍞 Toast: Agentic Platform Hits Stride

  34. πŸ” RBI: Burger King's Inflection

  35. πŸ“’ HubSpot: Another Pricing Pivot

  36. 🌊 DigitalOcean: AI Capacity Surge

  37. πŸ‘» Snap: Restructure & Reset

  38. 🏠 Zillow: Profit Outlook Spooks Street

  39. πŸ—žοΈ NYT: Ad Engine Reaccelerates

  40. πŸ‘‘ DraftKings: Predictions Push Goes Live

  41. 🧬 Tempus AI: Pharma Brings Visibility

  42. πŸ”₯ Match Group: Tinder Rebounds

  43. ⚑️ Celsius: Portfolio Plays the Hits

  44. πŸ“Ί The Trade Desk: Guide Disappoints Again

  45. 🚲 Peloton: Turnaround Finds Its Footing

  46. 🏴 Klaviyo: Agents Find Leverage

  47. 🍿 AMC: Box Office Leverage


1. ↗️ AMD: CPU Reawakening

AMD’s Q1 revenue rose 38% Y/Y to $10.3 billion ($0.3 billion beat), and non-GAAP EPS was $1.37 ($0.08 beat).

Data Center revenue surged 57% Y/Y to $5.8 billion, ahead of expectations, as EPYC CPUs and Instinct GPUs became the primary growth engine. Free cash flow more than tripled to a record $2.6 billion, showing the AI ramp is already flowing through the model.

The biggest shift was not just GPUs. AMD doubled its server CPU market outlook, now expecting the TAM to grow at a 35%+ annual rate to more than $120 billion by 2030, up from its prior 18% CAGR view. The logic is simple: inference and agentic AI require more CPU compute for orchestration, data movement, parallel execution, and head nodes for accelerators. AMD now expects server CPU revenue to grow more than 70% Y/Y in Q2, with robust growth continuing into the second half and 2027.

The accelerator story also strengthened. AMD said that MI450Β andΒ HeliosΒ customer forecasts now exceed initial expectations, with production shipments still on track to ramp in the second half. The company pointed to multi-generation partnerships with Meta and OpenAI, plus additional large-scale customer interest, as evidence it can generate tens of billions in annual data center AI revenue in 2027. That matters because AMD is no longer pitching itself as a distant NVIDIA alternative. It’s trying to become the second strategic AI platform for hyperscalers that need more supply and leverage.

Outside Data Center, the picture was less explosive. Client and Gaming revenue rose 23% Y/Y to $3.6 billion, with Client up 26% and Gaming up 11%. Ryzen demand remains strong, especially in commercial PCs, but management warned that higher memory and component costs could pressure second-half PC and gaming demand. Embedded returned to growth, up 6% Y/Y to $873 million, helped by test, aerospace, defense, communications, and broader x86 adoption.

Management guided Q2 revenue to $11.2 billion (a massive $0.7 billion beat at the midpoint), implying 46% Y/Y growth, with adjusted gross margin expected to improve to 56%. The setup is increasingly about execution under constraint: securing enough wafers, back-end capacity, memory, and data center power to meet demand. The next test is whether AMD can turn MI450 and Helios into large-scale 2027 deployments while keeping gross margins in the 55%–58% long-term range.


2.πŸ“± Arm: AGI CPU Demand Doubles

Arm Q4 FY26 (March quarter) revenue rose 20% Y/Y to $1.5 billion ($20 million beat), and non-GAAP EPS was $0.60 ($0.02 beat).

  • Licensing surged 29% to $819 million, $43 million ahead of consensus.

  • Royalties grew just 11% to $671 million β€” a $22 million miss as memory chip shortages weighed on smartphone production.

ACV (Annualized contract value), a metric for normalized license and other revenue, rose 22% Y/Y to $1.7 billion.

Chart preview
Source: Fiscal.ai

Shares fell over 10% as the smartphone slowdown overshadowed AI data center momentum.

The headline story is the Arm AGI CPU, Arm’s first homegrown data center chip and a direct competitive shift against its own customers. Demand more than doubled to over $2 billion across FY27 and FY28, but Arm held its revenue forecast at $1 billion citing TSMC advanced-node wafer constraints. Meta is the lead partner and co-developer. Data center royalty revenue more than doubled Y/Y, with Neoverse CSS holding ~50% market share among top hyperscalers.

CEO Rene Haas saw smartphone unit growth β€œflip to negative,” though the weakness was concentrated in low-end phones where Arm earns lower royalty rates. The cost of building chips directly is showing up in margins: operating margin fell to 29% from 33% a year ago.

For Q1 FY27, Arm guided revenue to ~$1.26 billion (vs. $1.25 billion consensus) and non-GAAP EPS of ~$0.40 (vs. $0.36 consensus), with both royalty and licensing growing ~20%. Long-term FY31 targets remain intact at $25 billion revenue ($15 billion from AGI CPU, $10 billion from IP) and $9+ EPS. The next quarter test is whether royalty growth reaccelerates as the smartphone memory squeeze eases, and whether TSMC capacity loosens enough to let Arm convert the full $2 billion in AGI CPU demand into revenue rather than the $1 billion currently guided.


3. 🌐 Arista Networks: Demand Beats Supply

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